Sigüés, a small town in Aragon, has maintained since 1977 an unexpected relationship between its local elections and national ones: every time a party wins there, it also wins across all of Spain.
This pattern has solidified over more than five decades, becoming known as the "infallible compass." The phenomenon was documented by El País on its front page on November 15, 2026.
Former Socialists Speak of Disappointment
In an interview with El País, several former members of the Socialist Party have stated that they do not feel general political discontent, but rather a deeper sense: disappointment.
«It's not dissatisfaction», some explain. «It's disappointment». This phrase is repeated among former voters who indicate their rejection of election outcomes does not stem from ideological or national grievances, but instead arises from the perception that elections in Sigüés reflect a broad and persistent shift to the right.
How Does the "Compass" Work?
There are no evidences that the electoral pattern of Sigü-é is based on rigorous statistical data or verified academic studies. The claim derives exclusively from journalistic analysis by El País, whose content indicates that since 1977 there has been an alignment between local and national results, without offering empirical evidence or comparative data with other municipalities.
The relationship does not necessarily imply a precise prediction of general elections, but rather reflects a historically repeated observation: the winning party in Sigüés almost always coincides with the national winner.
Limits of electoral data
It cannot be asserted that this phenomenon is universal nor that it represents a structural trend. The information comes solely from a journalistic article, and its validity depends exclusively on the accuracy of the analysis conducted by El País.
No official source has validated this correlation as a reliable or scientific indicator. The fact that it has occurred repeatedly does not necessarily mean it is based on deep-rooted or predictable causes.
There are also no available data regarding whether the pattern persists under specific conditions: political changes, economic crises, social movements, or demographic shifts. The absence of empirical studies or statistical models makes it impossible to establish a causal relationship between local and national election results.